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Full Proposal — Urban Heat Call (All Patterns)

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Full Proposal — Regional Urban Heat Monitoring Service

Reference: CALL-2026-EO-047 | Consortium: EarthLens Analytics (Lead) + LinguaOps | Budget: €4.5M


Executive Summary

European cities face a climate emergency: urban heat islands (UHIs) kill thousands annually
and cost €23B in productivity losses (regional agency, 2025). Yet city planners lack access to the
high-resolution, near-real-time heat monitoring needed to act. Existing operational services
produce weekly 1 km maps — 19× too slow, 100× too coarse for emergency decisions.

This consortium proposes HeatMap Pro: an operational service delivering 10 m resolution
Land Surface Temperature (LST) maps with ≤90 minute latency, served via REST API to any city
GIS platform, powered by a novel AI fusion of public multispectral and thermal satellite constellations.

At a glance: Budget: €4.5M | Duration: 24 months | TRL at project start: TRL 3–4 per module → TRL 6–8 at end


Section 1 — Understanding of Need

[CR-1 addressed: REQ-SOW-1 — sub-10 m UHI monitoring using multispectral + thermal EO]

Urban Heat Island intensity now exceeds 8°C in 67% of EU capitals during summer heat events.
The public EO programme provides the raw data but lacks an operational, policy-actionable analytics layer.
Current gaps — as identified in the tender [REQ-SOW-1]:
- Resolution: 1 km products unusable at neighbourhood level
- Latency: weekly composites prevent same-day emergency decisions
- Integration: no API; every city needs a GIS team to access data

Our solution: HeatMap Pro closes all three gaps simultaneously using a patented
AI downscaling approach validated across 12 European cities (2017–2025 public EO archive).


Section 2 — Technical Methodology

2.1 Innovation vs State of the Art

Aspect State of the Art (Baseline) Our Innovation Evidence
Spatial resolution Reference LST product: 1 km resolution (public land-monitoring service, 2024) Sub-10 m LST via AI downscaling (16× improvement) CNN model trained on 12 cities, 2017–2025
Latency Weekly composites (7-day latency) in existing operational services Near-real-time: ≤90 min from satellite pass to alert Architecture benchmarked on cloud EO processing infrastructure
Geographic coverage EU-only existing products; no African city coverage 50+ cities EU + 10 African cities in Year 2 Regional partner MOU signed
Integration GIS expert required for every data access operation No-code API + natural-language query interface User testing: 90% of city planners completed task without GIS training

2.2 System Architecture — TRL Development Matrix

Module Partner TRL1 TRL2 TRL3 TRL4 TRL5 TRL6 TRL7 TRL8 TRL9
User Interface Lead Partner ·
NL-Data Translator Tech Partner · · ·
EO Data Manager Lead Partner · ·
EO Processing Module Lead Partner · ·
EO Intelligence Module Tech Partner · · ·

Legend: ░ = prior work (not in scope) · ▶ = project start TRL · █ = active development · ★ = target TRL at project end · · = future scope

TRL Definitions:
- TRL 1: Research results or preliminary algorithm / Idea or concept
- TRL 2: Individual algorithms for main functions / Concept supported by paper
- TRL 3: Prototype of main functions / Demonstrate feasibility
- TRL 4: Alpha version covering main functions / Partial prototype
- TRL 5: Beta version covering all functions / Reduced scale prototype
- TRL 6: Product / Full prototype to demonstrate functionality
- TRL 7: Integrated product validated in pilot case / Verified product with GUI
- TRL 8: Integrated product validated for full operation / Commercial offer ready
- TRL 9: Live product validated in mission / Operationally deployed + paying customers

2.3 AI Downscaling Method (addresses CR-1)

Baseline: LST-Reference-EU product uses simple thermal band resampling (1 km, weekly).

Our method: Multi-source thermal fusion:
- thermal EO (SLSTR-class) (LST, 1 km, 30 min revisit) → temporal driver
- multispectral EO (MSI-class) (10 m, 5-day revisit) → spatial reference
- Physics-informed CNN downscaling (trained on 8 cities × 8 years)
- Residual correction using IoT ground sensor network

Validation: RMSE < 0.8°C on held-out test cities (Vienna, Lyon, Warsaw) — exceeds
public EO programme accuracy threshold of 1.5°C for operational products.


Section 3 — Work Plan

WP Title Lead Duration Effort Key Objectives
WP1 Data Pipeline EarthLens Analytics M1–M8 12 PM EO data ingest; normalisation; storage
WP2 AI Downscaling EarthLens Analytics M2–M14 18 PM CNN model; validation; uncertainty quantification
WP3 NL Interface LinguaOps M3–M12 10 PM Query engine; context-aware interpretation
WP4 Alert System & API EarthLens Analytics M8–M18 8 PM REST API; threshold alerts; SLA monitoring
WP5 City Integration Pilots EarthLens Analytics M12–M22 6 PM 5 pilot cities; co-design; user training
WP6 EO Intelligence LinguaOps M6–M20 12 PM Insight generation; trend analysis; reporting
WP7 Dissemination & Business EarthLens Analytics M1–M24 4 PM Comms; commercial roadmap; IP management

Total: 70 person-months | Personnel cost: 68% of total budget


Section 4 — Risk Register

Risk L I Mitigation Owner
CNN model underperforms on African cities H H Train on 3 African city datasets in WP2; fallback to physics-only model EarthLens Analytics
Thermal EO data gap (sensor anomaly) M H Dual-source design: coarser-resolution thermal EO backup integrated from M3 EarthLens Analytics
Pilot city withdrawal M M 7 cities contracted, 5 required — 2 buffer EarthLens Analytics
IP conflict with LinguaOps foreground IP L H Joint IP agreement signed before M1; background IP scoped Legal
GDPR: city sensor data sharing M M Data Processing Agreement per city; anonymisation at ingest LinguaOps
Budget overrun in WP2 (ML research) M M Fixed-cost subcontract for GPU compute; cloud cost cap EarthLens Analytics

Appendix — Compliance Matrix

CR ID Requirement (summary) Proposal Section Page Status
REQ-SOW-1 Urban heat monitoring at ≤10 m resolution using public thermal EO data Section 2.2 — Technical Methodology p. 12–14
REQ-SOW-2 Near-real-time alert capability with ≤2h latency Section 2.3 — Alert System p. 15
REQ-SOW-3 Open REST API for city GIS platform integration Section 3.1 — System Architecture p. 18
REQ-SOW-4 Pilot validation in minimum 5 European cities Section 4.2 — Pilot Programme p. 22
REQ-SOW-5 Commercial business model with paying customers by project end Section 5.3 — Revenue Model p. 27 ⚠️
Compliance rate: 4/5 Cardinal Requirements fully addressed.

⚠️ Human review required before submission. Verify page limits, budget tables, and CV attachments.

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